Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.000259 0.000291 0.000325 0.000364 0.000409 0.000458 0.000516
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000209 0.000255 0.000310 0.000380 0.000468 0.000573 0.000711
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000170 0.000221 0.000286 0.000374 0.000493 0.000647 0.000863
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000145 0.000199 0.000270 0.000374 0.000520 0.000722 0.001025
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000125 0.000178 0.000253 0.000366 0.000534 0.000779 0.001165
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000112 0.000167 0.000246 0.000370 0.000565 0.000860 0.001352
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000102 0.000157 0.000239 0.000373 0.000592 0.000939 0.001543
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000089 0.000141 0.000221 0.000357 0.000586 0.000963 0.001647
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000082 0.000133 0.000215 0.000359 0.000609 0.001037 0.001845
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000078 0.000131 0.000218 0.000374 0.000657 0.001159 0.002144
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000071 0.000122 0.000207 0.000366 0.000662 0.001205 0.002308
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000063 0.000110 0.000192 0.000349 0.000648 0.001211 0.002396
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000059 0.000106 0.000190 0.000353 0.000676 0.001306 0.002680
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000105 0.000193 0.000370 0.000731 0.001460 0.003113
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000098 0.000185 0.000364 0.000740 0.001523 0.003362
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000094 0.000180 0.000363 0.000759 0.001609 0.003675
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000088 0.000172 0.000356 0.000763 0.001662 0.003920
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000085 0.000170 0.000360 0.000793 0.001778 0.004335
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000040 0.000082 0.000168 0.000363 0.000820 0.001890 0.004759
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000036 0.000076 0.000157 0.000347 0.000801 0.001890 0.004893
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000035 0.000073 0.000155 0.000349 0.000825 0.001997 0.005331
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000034 0.000073 0.000158 0.000364 0.000883 0.002199 0.006069
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000032 0.000069 0.000151 0.000356 0.000883 0.002252 0.006388